INDECS - Paper abstract
Budapest, Hungary
Full paper as pdf version.
FORESIGHT AS A SPECIAL CHARACTERISTIC
OF COMPLEX SOCIAL SYSTEMS
Éva Hideg
Futures Studies Centre, Budapest University of Economic Sciences and Public AdministrationBudapest, Hungary
Presented at CSNSS'03.
SUMMARY
There is a great difference between ordinary and emergent complex systems [Funtowitz, S.O. and Ravetz, J.R.: Emergent Complex Systems. Futures 26(6), 568-582, 1994]. One of main differences is the foresight ability of emergent systems. This paper shows some methodological approaches to forecast the possible future behaviours of complex social systems.
KEY WORDS
futures studies, emergent, foresight, future orientation, evolutionary modelling
CLASSIFICATION
| ACM Categories and subject descriptors: | J.4 [Computer Applications]; Social and behavioral sciences – Sociology | |
| APA: | 3040, 4010 | |
| JEL: | A0 | |
| PACS: | 87.23.Ge, 89.65.-s |
Full paper as pdf version.