INDECS - Paper abstract
 

UNRAVELING THE UNSUSTAINABLITY SPIRAL
IN SUBSAHARAN AFRICA: AN AGENT BASED
MODELLING APPROACH

G. van Hofwegen, G.A. Becx, J.A. van den Broek and N.B.J. Koning

  Wageningen International, Wageningen University
  Wageningen, Netherlands

Received: 2 July, 2007. Accepted: 18 October, 2007.

SUMMARY

Sub-Saharan Africa is trapped in a complex unsustainability spiral with demographic, biophysical, technical and socio-political dimensions. Unravelling the spiral is vital to perceive which policy actions are needed to reverse it and initiate sustainable pro-poor growth. The article presents an evolutionary, multi-agent modelling framework that marries a socio-ecological approach to a world system perspective and takes agriculture as the engine for sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa. A number of possibilities for empirical validation are proposed.


KEY WORDS

multi-agent systems, development, poverty trap, degradation, social capital, sub-Saharan Africa


CLASSIFICATION

JEL:O13, O33, O55, Q20


Full paper as pdf version.

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